Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.036591 0.040004 0.043465 0.047232 0.051208 0.055275 0.059741
2025-08-10 0.029417 0.034223 0.039291 0.045005 0.051243 0.057823 0.065263
2025-08-17 0.024948 0.030717 0.037012 0.044333 0.052553 0.061442 0.071726
2025-08-24 0.021470 0.027887 0.035117 0.043759 0.053703 0.064688 0.077641
2025-08-31 0.019713 0.026803 0.035010 0.045044 0.056818 0.070042 0.085865
2025-09-07 0.018059 0.025652 0.034668 0.045923 0.059364 0.074685 0.093250
2025-09-14 0.016499 0.024458 0.034142 0.046469 0.061430 0.078713 0.099897
2025-09-21 0.014966 0.023155 0.033362 0.046602 0.062922 0.082012 0.105659
2025-09-28 0.014149 0.022701 0.033578 0.047908 0.065793 0.086922 0.113316
2025-10-05 0.012622 0.021175 0.032323 0.047283 0.066229 0.088872 0.117427
2025-10-12 0.011541 0.020171 0.031672 0.047360 0.067481 0.091769 0.122649
2025-10-19 0.010773 0.019544 0.031469 0.047970 0.069372 0.095427 0.128785
2025-10-26 0.010209 0.019195 0.031643 0.049101 0.071974 0.100039 0.136197
2025-11-02 0.008725 0.017363 0.029687 0.047330 0.070805 0.099943 0.137836
2025-11-09 0.007804 0.016311 0.028756 0.046880 0.071297 0.101893 0.141976
2025-11-16 0.006965 0.015313 0.027842 0.046399 0.071711 0.103716 0.145947
2025-11-23 0.006712 0.015253 0.028283 0.047791 0.074605 0.108701 0.153888
2025-11-30 0.006360 0.014996 0.028412 0.048732 0.076894 0.112920 0.160889
2025-12-07 0.005946 0.014596 0.028299 0.049312 0.078689 0.116507 0.167105
2025-12-14 0.005462 0.014031 0.027900 0.049457 0.079878 0.119304 0.172327
2025-12-21 0.005288 0.014013 0.028343 0.050818 0.082733 0.124277 0.180337
2025-12-28 0.004699 0.013166 0.027435 0.050170 0.082799 0.125595 0.183676
2026-01-04 0.004306 0.012656 0.027037 0.050250 0.083856 0.128204 0.188668